Within the world of Long Now’s Long Bets, $20,000 is on the line. Mitch Kapor predicted in 02002 that “By 2029 no computer — or machine intelligence — will have passed the Turing test.”

Ray Kurzweil, who popularized the Turing test in his books, countered that reverse-engineering of the human brain will allow computer programs that can think like a human, and that research is accelerating.

The Turing test passed by Eugene Goostman in not the same Turing test proposed by Kapor and Kurzweil. Kurzweil found Eugene Goostman to be lacking, posting a transcript.

Kurzweil has not conceded the bet and expects a long period of dubious claims that computers have passed Turing’s test. Eugene Goostman may not indicate human-level intelligence to Kurzweil or many others. […]

related reading:
Long Now Foundation | Long Bets: main
Long Now Foundation | Long Bets: “By 2029 no computer or machine intelligence will have passed the Turing test”

essay | “Response to announcement of chatbot Eugene Goostman passing the Turing test” by Ray Kurzweil

related reading:

Twitter | “Was the Turing test just passed by a chatbot rigorous enough to settle Mitch Kapor’s $20,000 Long Bet with Ray Kurzweil?” — The Long Now Foundation

Twitter | “Not at all” — Mitch Kapor